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Tuesday, April 21, 2020

EPIDEMIOLOGY NUMBERS

© MMXX V.1.0.0
by Morley Evans

The Experts Have No Idea
How Many COVID-19
Cases There Are

By Ryan McMaken
Mises.org
April 21, 2020

In the early days of the COVID-19 panic—about three weeks ago—it was common to hear both of these phrases often repeated:

“The fatality rate of this virus is very high!”
“There are far more cases of this out there than we know about!”
The strategy of insisting that both these statements are true at the same time has been used by politicians to implement “lockdowns” that have forced businesses to close and millions to lose their jobs. For instance, on March 12, Ohio Department of Health director Amy Acton insisted that “over 100,000” people are “carrying this virus in Ohio today.” The state began to implement “stay-at-home” lockdown orders that day.

At the time, the World Health Organization (WHO), the media, and others were reporting that 2 to 4 per cent of people with COVID-19 would die. Taking the low-end 2 per cent number, and allowing for an incubation period, this would mean that two weeks after Acton’s announcement—assuming that the lockdown was 100 per cent effective and not a single additional person caught the disease—two thousand Ohioans would likely be dead of COVID-19.  But as of April 17, more than a month later, and after a month of the disease spreading through grocery stores and other “essential” areas of commerce, about 418 Ohioans have died of COVID-19.

READ MORE
https://www.lewrockwell.com/2020/04/ryan-mcmaken/the-experts-have-no-idea-how-many-covid-19-cases-there-are/

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